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Pretty wild stuff, huh? According to the model, this northwest swell peaked at 20 feet in deep water in this same area, and would have likely produced very significant long period forerunner energy throughout the day on the 27th. Wind-wave generation theory tells you the longest waves created by a storm have an infinitesimally small height and the longer the wave period the faster the energy propagates, so you aren't going to get any big waves first. The first swell was cranked out by a low which rapidly deepened as it tracked northward under the Aleutians and up into Alaska. A total of nearly 10, miles! So we got ourselves a copy of the paper and had a little sit-down with our resident forecasting and oceanography gay surfers:

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The news articles say the swell traveled from the Gulf of Alaska to the iceberg south of New Zealand in about 5 days.

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Sometimes the forerunners are too small to really see and as Bill mentioned, they just surge in. Even if you don't have access to buoy information, surfers can monitor forerunners within the surf zone as much smaller waves with longer periods between them than the normal waves - usually between seconds apart to the naked eye. The iceberg had been moving slowly from the southeast toward the northwest and grounded in shallow water up off Cape Adare at the northwest corner of the Ross Sea. So I guess you're saying I shouldn't invest in ocean front property in Pasadena just yet?

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